Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x957eae597241a15015eb4020c8c868725a20ee7a2cd412eb1670dab80312fa6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mumbai Indiansof Punjab Kings, Mumbai Indians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc076…d987backed Punjab Kings | 1c | 6,994$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…7804backed Punjab Kings | 49c | 919.87$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.74 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8275…a9aebacked Mumbai Indians | 49c | 483.77$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.94 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…320abacked Punjab Kings | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…f49abacked Punjab Kings | 50c | 200.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f18…9e52backed Mumbai Indians | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Mumbai Indians | 51c | 139.22$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Punjab Kings | 48c | 130.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8183…dd5bbacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…ba31backed Mumbai Indians | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 176 | 41.5%73 W · 103 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3d83backed Mumbai Indians | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed Mumbai Indians | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…e3b7backed Mumbai Indians | 51c | 87.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Punjab Kings | 49c | 85.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…08b8backed Mumbai Indians | 51c | 77.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…f0b4backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 69.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8739…8d70backed Punjab Kings | 49c | 62.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…f758backed Punjab Kings | 51c | 61.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…96e8backed Punjab Kings | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af1…df2cbacked Punjab Kings | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef9…4665backed Mumbai Indians | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…562cbacked Mumbai Indians | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a9…b8a7backed Mumbai Indians | 51c | 46.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x362e…5ef9backed Punjab Kings | 49c | 42.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…1911backed Mumbai Indians | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b4…1550backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…591dbacked Punjab Kings | 51c | 39.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x537f…b914backed Mumbai Indians | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9a…b45bbacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…53cdbacked Punjab Kings | 49c | 30.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…4f07backed Punjab Kings | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…ce77backed Mumbai Indians | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f1…5fd5backed Mumbai Indians | 51c | 25.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e3…f804backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…bc85backed Mumbai Indians | 51c | 24.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04cd…b00cbacked Punjab Kings | 49c | 21.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…ae18backed Mumbai Indians | 51c | 20.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a7…1c66backed Punjab Kings | 51c | 20.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…f863backed Punjab Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df3…c95cbacked Mumbai Indians | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai IndiansMumbai Indians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.