Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Western Michigan vs. Akron
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95ada8812af85a79cae21fdda621056d100c1a5fd5bccf7f006314e5a48e1132
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Akronof Western Michigan, Akron
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Western Michigan | 10c | 602.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked Western Michigan | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x632f…bdc3backed Akron | 69c | 31.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…020abacked Akron | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4535…4a97backed Western Michigan | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…58f4backed Akron | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…3b13backed Western Michigan | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…cbdbbacked Western Michigan | 62c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…e73bbacked Western Michigan | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0450…af70backed Akron | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +165.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…4deebacked Western Michigan | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35d…0a78backed Akron | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa219…9fa2backed Akron | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…634bbacked Western Michigan | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…98f1backed Western Michigan | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x046e…200fbacked Akron | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc695…c8b9backed Western Michigan | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…745abacked Akron | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef76…9280backed Western Michigan | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5457…6c96backed Western Michigan | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf19…dab0backed Western Michigan | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0766…0a48backed Western Michigan | 62c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.