Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95c2a2eda261e44c4ddfe64aecc71f5b33d937dcd7d9ef28a0551dafa43796ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Borgesof Auger-Aliassime, Borges
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Borges | 52c | 499.97$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Auger-Aliassime | 45c | 218.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.18 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Borges | 52c | 193$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Borges | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 155.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 154 | 40.9%63 W · 91 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Borges | 53c | 149.58$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.82 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Borges | 50c | 118.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Auger-Aliassime | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 415 | 44.3%184 W · 231 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Auger-Aliassime | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Borges | 48c | 58.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Borges | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…7827backed Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 40.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Borges | 52c | 38.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Borges | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Borges | 50c | 37.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Borges | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Auger-Aliassime | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 25.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Borges | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)this page
- Borges vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Halle Open: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-AliassimeFelix Auger-Aliassime won
- Set 1 Winner: Borges vs Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.