Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Jacksonville State vs. Liberty
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95cc98242233160efafba310692ba8ce213181418169a97139056caa48fb1032
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Libertyof Jacksonville State, Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27d7…1f7bbacked Jacksonville State | 21c | 407$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9168…9338backed Liberty | 79c | 224$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Jacksonville State | 17c | 126$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3efb…26ffbacked Jacksonville State | 21c | 68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…cce0backed Liberty | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f4…0ec0backed Liberty | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9060…5ed2backed Liberty | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x857c…9f82backed Liberty | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a1…0dcdbacked Liberty | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…ecb3backed Liberty | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…5ae4backed Liberty | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bb…0ad8backed Liberty | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3648…0bedbacked Liberty | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f6…b1a4backed Liberty | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4274…833abacked Liberty | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa052…dd7cbacked Liberty | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…8224backed Liberty | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a5c9backed Liberty | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07b…05bfbacked Liberty | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca5…5f4fbacked Liberty | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…1232backed Liberty | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.