Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
BYU vs. Iowa State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95cff760555e62682229c650be67a587505680aec8facab58e8e6886970c5e5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BYUof BYU, Iowa State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Iowa State | 47c | 1,678$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.83 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed BYU | 53c | 1,190$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.58 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c36…eaaebacked BYU | 19c | 523$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed BYU | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Iowa State | 63c | 318.69$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.55 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…ad1dbacked BYU | 23c | 215$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Iowa State | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed BYU | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8abb…0b7dbacked BYU | 21c | 94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 36cpaid | +238.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Iowa State | 78c | 88.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x331c…b18fbacked Iowa State | 77c | 87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e6…3197backed BYU | 21c | 74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…bca6backed Iowa State | 77c | 69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef67…793fbacked BYU | 23c | 68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc7…f72ebacked Iowa State | 79c | 64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…8a39backed BYU | 24c | 63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…bf39backed BYU | 24c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a8…d0ddbacked Iowa State | 77c | 59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e89…c3eebacked BYU | 19c | 57.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +227.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0e…1086backed BYU | 33c | 56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9626…2d88backed BYU | 23c | 54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3e…9a55backed Iowa State | 77c | 52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aea…8ddbbacked Iowa State | 77c | 51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…3febbacked BYU | 23c | 51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33c…6644backed BYU | 33c | 48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +125%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x030b…f05fbacked Iowa State | 76c | 46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4252backed BYU | 24c | 46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…1077backed Iowa State | 76c | 45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…5ef5backed Iowa State | 76c | 45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6edd…f3f6backed BYU | 23c | 45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Iowa State | 79c | 39.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7033…163ebacked Iowa State | 76c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…6559backed Iowa State | 76c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c4…c6afbacked Iowa State | 79c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee46…4880backed Iowa State | 79c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa615…faacbacked Iowa State | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fd…6bdfbacked Iowa State | 77c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa913…048fbacked Iowa State | 67c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…df50backed Iowa State | 77c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…0f93backed Iowa State | 77c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9654…1796backed Iowa State | 79c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…be6fbacked Iowa State | 77c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1746…c085backed Iowa State | 77c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97f…de29backed Iowa State | 77c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc997…2f9bbacked Iowa State | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58f…378cbacked Iowa State | 79c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…93a4backed Iowa State | 79c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…e631backed Iowa State | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.