Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bucknell vs. Loyola Maryland
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95e4271f86b4edb2e45e06452efbb559c7d08d4a0e2837e10e31584d8e443716
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucknellof Bucknell, Loyola Maryland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bca…dcb2backed Loyola Maryland | 50c | 303$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…1537backed Bucknell | 50c | 231$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75db…2098backed Bucknell | 50c | 219$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f17…66aabacked Loyola Maryland | 50c | 213$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4e…c9cbbacked Bucknell | 50c | 169$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…7f54backed Loyola Maryland | 50c | 138$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238c…04f2backed Bucknell | 50c | 135$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a56cbacked Bucknell | 51c | 119$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5717…5cb1backed Bucknell | 51c | 114$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…3120backed Loyola Maryland | 50c | 111$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…77a0backed Loyola Maryland | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Bucknell | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Loyola Maryland | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a19…0cc1backed Bucknell | 50c | 87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…f4adbacked Loyola Maryland | 50c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +172.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…9538backed Loyola Maryland | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…18fbbacked Bucknell | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd5…ff16backed Loyola Maryland | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…6d22backed Loyola Maryland | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3180…89b4backed Bucknell | 50c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…dbcabacked Loyola Maryland | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4100…8ec3backed Bucknell | 52c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb0…73edbacked Loyola Maryland | 42c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f2…631abacked Loyola Maryland | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…0037backed Bucknell | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd989…144cbacked Loyola Maryland | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe296…5b1cbacked Loyola Maryland | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Bucknell | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Loyola Maryland | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…16f4backed Loyola Maryland | 42c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…ee23backed Bucknell | 58c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd45d…933ebacked Bucknell | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…eb81backed Loyola Maryland | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 55cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…d064backed Loyola Maryland | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…012cbacked Loyola Maryland | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b20…7c03backed Bucknell | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c8…cb52backed Loyola Maryland | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8364…2e46backed Bucknell | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…a476backed Loyola Maryland | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…29febacked Bucknell | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e7…d258backed Loyola Maryland | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…cd7abacked Bucknell | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…db0ebacked Loyola Maryland | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde95…0d1bbacked Bucknell | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…67b1backed Bucknell | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 44cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65dd…dc67backed Loyola Maryland | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x826c…2101backed Bucknell | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…7584backed Bucknell | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…4980backed Bucknell | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.