Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Saint Peter's vs. Marist
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95f17e2a80ce9ea64ddb706176c5933c30f4ab9fcb59a18b026d67020031c7c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Peter'sof Saint Peter's, Marist
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Saint Peter's | 33c | 244$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.05 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Marist | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1227…a274backed Saint Peter's | 50c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284f…30f9backed Saint Peter's | 39c | 59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…f3a3backed Saint Peter's | 47c | 58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6369…0c67backed Marist | 61c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Saint Peter's | 37c | 44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marist | 59c | 42.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…36edbacked Saint Peter's | 38c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f02…28febacked Marist | 78c | 37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Marist | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…c812backed Saint Peter's | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…75a0backed Marist | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…2c06backed Marist | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d43abacked Marist | 61c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbd…e96fbacked Marist | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…5a54backed Marist | 60c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…ed48backed Marist | 62c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174f…c0ecbacked Marist | 78c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c55…0069backed Marist | 78c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.