Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x967c653d5e3b02a2b94f21c4b141050a04637961b07ede4ac40cf0f4f9de5aab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof NRG, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed NRG | 38c | 2,630$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 1,125$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.66 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed NRG | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -7.2wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Gentle Mates | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Gentle Mates | 66c | 887.32$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.69 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Gentle Mates | 62c | 823.76$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.03 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Gentle Mates | 64c | 512$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Gentle Mates | 63c | 164.24$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Gentle Mates | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Gentle Mates | 66c | 122.39$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 639 | 48%307 W · 332 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea9…9248backed Gentle Mates | 65c | 101.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed NRG | 37c | 96.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…980abacked NRG | 37c | 67.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed Gentle Mates | 67c | 32.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Gentle Mates | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 185 | 65.4%121 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)NRG won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsNRG won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.