Mls · resolved market
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96f8a2c276b033771e734c57f1b710e5430349fc168a7c7fb9f3e67d9f1740b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 0c | 18,877$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 12c | 10,878$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.01 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 10c | 4,778$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.75 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 11c | 3,150$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 4c | 1,900$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +306.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Yes | 16c | 794.77$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 11c | 552$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Yes | 5c | 456.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 11c | 269.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 11c | 235.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 15c | 198.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb162…310ebacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 7c | 143.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 8c | 141.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…f481backed Yes | 11c | 113.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…3bcebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?No won
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.