Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Green Bay vs. Oakland
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97911b65980c629ecb97da8eb6c8651018025071f1d94bc691de06d9c6898fcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oaklandof Green Bay, Oakland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Green Bay | 13c | 1,186$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.13 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9627…7d99backed Green Bay | 24c | 360$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b65…8466backed Oakland | 76c | 313$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Oakland | 62c | 243$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1626…2f9dbacked Green Bay | 14c | 222$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +64%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0297…a6ccbacked Green Bay | 23c | 184$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf075…9555backed Green Bay | 15c | 158$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Green Bay | 9c | 132$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…d28abacked Green Bay | 15c | 122$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8de…63fbbacked Green Bay | 15c | 111$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547c…bb98backed Green Bay | 15c | 103$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…dbfbbacked Green Bay | 16c | 99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…feecbacked Green Bay | 14c | 92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Green Bay | 15c | 84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb49…861abacked Green Bay | 16c | 84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b3…2ababacked Green Bay | 25c | 81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…c58fbacked Green Bay | 24c | 73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +129.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Green Bay | 16c | 72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d4…70ecbacked Green Bay | 24c | 72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…5f32backed Green Bay | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc886…6bcfbacked Green Bay | 23c | 64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6e…7009backed Oakland | 75c | 57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6593…f54dbacked Green Bay | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9a…f87dbacked Green Bay | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…2b0cbacked Oakland | 77c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d3…207abacked Oakland | 76c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d1…cb03backed Green Bay | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3981…724dbacked Oakland | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…9a9dbacked Oakland | 78c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2d…a791backed Oakland | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2536…8fe6backed Oakland | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c18…206fbacked Oakland | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa153…6f84backed Oakland | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…2a8abacked Oakland | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b2…282fbacked Oakland | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f7…284dbacked Oakland | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…056fbacked Oakland | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eaf…5257backed Oakland | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…a5c9backed Oakland | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe37…22e1backed Oakland | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…94d7backed Oakland | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…5af7backed Oakland | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…811bbacked Oakland | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…26c7backed Oakland | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5a…8281backed Oakland | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c75…1074backed Oakland | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f9…1db4backed Oakland | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aca…4322backed Oakland | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc0…3d90backed Oakland | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df0…e7aebacked Oakland | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d06…693bbacked Oakland | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.