Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Utah State vs. Colorado State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97d4d11886a4a3d6b677bd24a5d4718f00ec41846f12dc1529447e7f42598085
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Stateof Utah State, Colorado State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab7c…eb58backed Colorado State | 55c | 360$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f1…93c3backed Utah State | 45c | 292$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f5…c6ccbacked Utah State | 45c | 237$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7919…d2e8backed Colorado State | 55c | 193$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccee…e648backed Colorado State | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…f038backed Utah State | 45c | 122$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x978a…91b0backed Colorado State | 55c | 98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc735…175bbacked Utah State | 50c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x679b…28c4backed Colorado State | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…d049backed Utah State | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b52…25f6backed Utah State | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Utah State | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Colorado State | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e7…e9a9backed Utah State | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…5451backed Utah State | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa555…0905backed Utah State | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6657…5d44backed Colorado State | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e9…2c7fbacked Utah State | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…97c6backed Colorado State | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1962…4babbacked Colorado State | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882d…718abacked Colorado State | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…0fe8backed Utah State | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf064…830cbacked Utah State | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.