Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Naomi Osaka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97d70c7ac507c06bcbbb4fe3946538115e2408a71a1ad152f2d403c26e8ffdb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Naomi Osakaof Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva, Naomi Osaka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,089 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Naomi Osaka | 76c | 10,252$7,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.24 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…d06bbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 23c | 4,829$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.43 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 4c | 3,385$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.4 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 4c | 3,070$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.12 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 11c | 2,795$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.38 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Naomi Osaka | 80c | 2,505$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.83 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 20c | 2,365$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.12 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Naomi Osaka | 77c | 1,831$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.23 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 5c | 1,819$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.41 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 23c | 1,674$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 6c | 1,545$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 18c | 1,300$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 11c | 1,241$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.57 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 23c | 1,001$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 22c | 890.21$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 14c | 775.57$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.74 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…4d6abacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 22c | 600.03$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.78 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 9c | 566.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 18c | 473$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 24c | 408.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 25c | 393.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 11c | 358.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 15c | 347.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…7ad1backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 19c | 299.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 8c | 294.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…56ecbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 20c | 253.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Naomi Osaka | 79c | 242.39$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c5…4d7abacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 22c | 230.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 22c | 227$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 600 | 55.7%334 W · 266 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Naomi Osaka | 80c | 222.11$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 23c | 220.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 22c | 219.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 23c | 187.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 181 | 33.1%60 W · 121 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 18c | 184.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Naomi Osaka | 79c | 166.57$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Naomi Osaka | 78c | 130.88$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 21c | 130.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Naomi Osaka | 78c | 128$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Naomi Osaka | 79c | 126.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 15c | 115$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Naomi Osaka | 79c | 111.05$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 294 | 61.9%182 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…5bb8backed Naomi Osaka | 72c | 87.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 22c | 77.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…86debacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 493 | 42.8%211 W · 282 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 16c | 64.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Naomi Osaka | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x112e…0d1fbacked Naomi Osaka | 80c | 58.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 349 | 65%227 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…d9e6backed Naomi Osaka | 78c | 40.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Naomi Osaka | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Naomi Osaka | 75c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Naomi Osaka | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 121 | 42.1%51 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Naomi Osaka | 79c | 22.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Naomi Osaka | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…7e42backed Naomi Osaka | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Naomi Osaka | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | -14.3wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Naomi Osaka | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce35…75aabacked Naomi Osaka | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Naomi Osakathis page
- Kasintseva vs. Osaka: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Kasintseva vs. Osaka: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Kasintseva vs OsakaOsaka won
- Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Kasintseva (+1.5)Osaka won
- Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs. Naomi Osaka: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.