CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x984ce1c60ee681a13208e8b3d6ad1ec59d88947d84597efc90544aa5786bdc58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof ShindeN, MIBR Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked MIBR Academy | 17c | 1,903$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.09 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MIBR Academy | 20c | 890.98$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed MIBR Academy | 16c | 742.26$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked MIBR Academy | 19c | 500.05$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.11 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed ShindeN | 80c | 438$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.65 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked MIBR Academy | 16c | 330.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MIBR Academy | 19c | 323.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MIBR Academy | 18c | 308$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MIBR Academy | 6c | 298$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed MIBR Academy | 13c | 293.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked MIBR Academy | 20c | 206.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed MIBR Academy | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MIBR Academy | 19c | 198.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MIBR Academy | 13c | 190.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed MIBR Academy | 15c | 163.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked ShindeN | 80c | 155.93$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked ShindeN | 73c | 140.74$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked MIBR Academy | 27c | 140.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…fa14backed ShindeN | 80c | 113.24$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed MIBR Academy | 13c | 108$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked MIBR Academy | 21c | 101$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed ShindeN | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MIBR Academy | 25c | 78.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda30…1d71backed ShindeN | 80c | 77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…bd88backed ShindeN | 80c | 66.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked MIBR Academy | 18c | 54.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ShindeN | 74c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed MIBR Academy | 22c | 47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked ShindeN | 76c | 40.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked ShindeN | 73c | 25.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 99 | 70.7%70 W · 29 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked ShindeN | 80c | 20.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed ShindeN | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked ShindeN | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.