Cricket · resolved market
International T20 Series: USA vs India
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x986e639063d57b2c02e05b273e54aaf1c8345eb00ef7b256be8e8879bef52e9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiaof USA, India
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed USA | 1c | 8,343$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.38 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed USA | 0c | 7,527$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed USA | 7c | 7,244$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.12 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed USA | 1c | 6,440$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed USA | 6c | 5,607$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.82 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf4…5daabacked USA | 6c | 2,945$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.43 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked USA | 5c | 2,527$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.31 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…adc1backed USA | 6c | 2,199$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed USA | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…4841backed USA | 5c | 1,158$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed USA | 8c | 989.63$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.92 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed USA | 5c | 882.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed USA | 2c | 869.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed USA | 4c | 592.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked USA | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…8b8cbacked USA | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked USA | 9c | 388.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…dd30backed USA | 6c | 360$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.