Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will IK Start win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x989039d498859aea9e6d4da7f4f65e0c91e05241f72ddb855a3352cd657e8405
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,996 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 23c | 4,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 2,444$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.17 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 1,630$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.26 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 483.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 59c | 168.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked No | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 54cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 16c | 111.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 94.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 18c | 61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 42c | 45.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 41c | 42.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 71c | 38.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 39c | 36.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Yes | 36c | 29.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked No | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will IK Start win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will IK Start vs. Aalesunds FK end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.