Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: DRG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98f72d9e16fd63582245601de0d92eeec8eb2b6ed95df04ba9bf809dfc51fd37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TEC Esportsof Dragon Ranger Gaming, TEC Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked TEC Esports | 57c | 776.99$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.11 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 43c | 511.55$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TEC Esports | 58c | 330$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.97 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 36c | 326.64$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 39c | 292.83$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.72 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 42c | 258.47$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.67 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed TEC Esports | 59c | 251.22$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed TEC Esports | 63c | 172.74$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 41c | 153.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 43c | 127.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked TEC Esports | 56c | 116.63$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed TEC Esports | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 41c | 95.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed TEC Esports | 61c | 76.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed TEC Esports | 57c | 51.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -15.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9816…8ff4backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 38c | 38.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed TEC Esports | 62c | 38.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: DRG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaDragon Ranger Gaming won
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs TEC Esports - Map 1 WinnerDragon Ranger Gaming won
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs TEC Esports - Map 2 WinnerTEC Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.