Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Erwitte Women: Valentina Steiner vs Sahaja Yamalapalli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99b172f0f918f9011f67febbc8d54af21da6f5369918da6837e19f67c72e6831
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valentina Steinerof Valentina Steiner, Sahaja Yamalapalli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6982…a165backed Sahaja Yamalapalli | 14c | 42,392$5,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,946.1 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Sahaja Yamalapalli | 24c | 2,727$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.49 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Valentina Steiner | 75c | 795.57$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.57 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Sahaja Yamalapalli | 13c | 763.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Valentina Steiner | 78c | 639.77$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.75 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Valentina Steiner | 78c | 432.06$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.7 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked Valentina Steiner | 60c | 330.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.72 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Valentina Steiner | 79c | 232.52$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Sahaja Yamalapalli | 16c | 212.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…a282backed Sahaja Yamalapalli | 9c | 140$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sahaja Yamalapalli | 23c | 129.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10dd…4831backed Valentina Steiner | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Valentina Steiner | 78c | 127.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sahaja Yamalapalli | 16c | 110.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Sahaja Yamalapalli | 26c | 103.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Valentina Steiner | 79c | 100.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Valentina Steiner | 78c | 98.51$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Valentina Steiner | 72c | 97.97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Valentina Steiner | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Valentina Steiner | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Valentina Steiner | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Valentina Steiner | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Valentina Steiner | 79c | 62.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…865bbacked Valentina Steiner | 73c | 55.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Valentina Steiner | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Valentina Steiner | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Valentina Steiner | 73c | 37.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b2…5486backed Valentina Steiner | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 87 | 77%67 W · 20 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Valentina Steiner | 77c | 15.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.