Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Boston College vs. NC State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99f1e971bc7b34f1baa12fde975c6caac6f72e8a7fea6fcc0e9337b1f8117806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Stateof Boston College, NC State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x490e…41e2backed NC State | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb37…e671backed Boston College | 51c | 106$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +109%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d5…cebabacked Boston College | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8f…b508backed Boston College | 51c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6181…de44backed NC State | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b54…352dbacked NC State | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1b…c5f9backed Boston College | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f9b8backed NC State | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…b373backed NC State | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d46…1c74backed Boston College | 23c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…04acbacked Boston College | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ded…43b8backed NC State | 49c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…9a33backed NC State | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2491…3c43backed Boston College | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096e…bdb4backed NC State | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa0…f6bfbacked Boston College | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7919…d2e8backed Boston College | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…ae42backed NC State | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb99f…230cbacked NC State | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d86…dd55backed NC State | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.