College Football · resolved market
Will Tennessee beat Florida?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a0a164cbb0a52ed32c6d7c9e9024584545fa7a350b6a98e92e2216d65c9cf6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Volsof Vols, Gators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Vols | 60c | 5,000$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Gators | 24c | 4,353$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.08 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Gators | 40c | 2,750$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.69 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Vols | 42c | 1,327$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.3 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Gators | 20c | 1,001$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.53 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Gators | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Gators | 43c | 935.56$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.14 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…1914backed Gators | 17c | 735.29$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Vols | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Vols | 64c | 362.71$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.58 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Vols | 64c | 326.89$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb22e…c0aebacked Gators | 18c | 228.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…4bbebacked Gators | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad0…ff9ebacked Vols | 68c | 151.46$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked Gators | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a9…2ac8backed Gators | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -71%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe4…fc44backed Gators | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Gators | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03da…7907backed Gators | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3959…a574backed Vols | 44c | 93.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Vols | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Gators | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Gators | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Gators | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Vols | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tennessee beat Florida?this page
- Will Tennessee and Florida combine for 57 or more points?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.