Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dynasty vs The Bandits (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a69c3cd5f2c85b7a526b4470759ea12eb26fdb66ebafc1eef388d2bae1424c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Banditsof Dynasty, The Bandits
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Dynasty | 0c | 5,460$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Dynasty | 50c | 2,201$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.7 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6568…1ba3backed The Bandits | 46c | 744.67$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked The Bandits | 56c | 600$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed The Bandits | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Dynasty | 44c | 492$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.48 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed The Bandits | 80c | 449.05$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.53 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed The Bandits | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked The Bandits | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Dynasty | 19c | 221.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked The Bandits | 54c | 176$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed The Bandits | 54c | 166$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +72%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62ad…02b0backed Dynasty | 20c | 148$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed The Bandits | 54c | 137$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked The Bandits | 54c | 126$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed The Bandits | 54c | 126$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Dynasty | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dynasty | 43c | 96.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked The Bandits | 50c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Dynasty | 43c | 92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed The Bandits | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…b398backed The Bandits | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Dynasty | 46c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed The Bandits | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Dynasty | 46c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Dynasty | 46c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Dynasty | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed The Bandits | 54c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Dynasty | 46c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Dynasty | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Dynasty | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed The Bandits | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Dynasty | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Dynasty | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Dynasty | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed The Bandits | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Dynasty | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Dynasty | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed The Bandits | 55c | 27.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Dynasty | 45c | 27.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Dynasty | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Dynasty | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Dynasty | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Dynasty | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Dynasty | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Dynasty | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed Dynasty | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed The Bandits | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4390…e842backed Dynasty | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Dynasty | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Dynasty | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.