Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aaaa44d5aebc5bdb7f4fcbb342dcd8957bb102ed5ee155a57a2c8386a1640c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 3,853$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.24 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 28c | 3,634$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.13 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 63c | 250.82$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.97 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 38c | 217.35$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked No | 72c | 211.79$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 35c | 162$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 63c | 70.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…598fbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…3d96backed Yes | 35c | 42.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 64c | 31.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 74c | 24.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC leading at halftime?this page
- Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.