Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Diego vs. Pacific
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bb567b6fa4794f8c412744f0530100c70d0681b1e80e11cbe3fb931b2e2db7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diegoof San Diego, Pacific
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pacific | 57c | 500$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.72 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked San Diego | 43c | 425.54$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.95 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x695b…2c94backed San Diego | 31c | 214$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +133.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked San Diego | 44c | 197.86$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd40…719ebacked San Diego | 41c | 131$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0e…b1febacked Pacific | 59c | 125$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb10…f651backed San Diego | 45c | 102.27$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Pacific | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6140…50d2backed Pacific | 70c | 88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…6ae0backed San Diego | 30c | 88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc71…d52abacked San Diego | 30c | 85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfb…5f4fbacked Pacific | 69c | 82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Pacific | 56c | 80.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc000…c8cabacked Pacific | 57c | 77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…99afbacked Pacific | 56c | 72.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4282…ed93backed San Diego | 41c | 71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9809…e63abacked San Diego | 47c | 68.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…ace3backed San Diego | 31c | 68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4623…42ffbacked Pacific | 70c | 66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe10c…819fbacked Pacific | 69c | 61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442e…b930backed San Diego | 31c | 58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafd7…1ff2backed San Diego | 31c | 53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…6f92backed San Diego | 30c | 48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…e087backed Pacific | 59c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…08fcbacked Pacific | 69c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff3…e894backed San Diego | 30c | 42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3882…f6d1backed San Diego | 30c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 45cpaid | +148.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Pacific | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc544…68a5backed Pacific | 69c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b70…d9babacked Pacific | 69c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…2853backed Pacific | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…c525backed Pacific | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed San Diego | 45c | 29.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a6…765bbacked Pacific | 69c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa830…e4b3backed Pacific | 70c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5d…79d1backed Pacific | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50d9…b2a0backed Pacific | 69c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbe…fd64backed Pacific | 70c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…d26fbacked Pacific | 69c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…0db8backed Pacific | 58c | 22.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…2357backed Pacific | 69c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…1c3dbacked Pacific | 69c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5050…cbe1backed Pacific | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b4…de4dbacked Pacific | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc8…c48ebacked Pacific | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…3c24backed Pacific | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a6…7f1bbacked Pacific | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.