Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Binghamton vs. NJIT
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bf290942c40e7ca08b27d3ed4eee13e2f058763139b8648036d4477185929f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Binghamtonof Binghamton, NJIT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Binghamton | 58c | 92.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked NJIT | 40c | 88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3e…f1f1backed NJIT | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7b73backed Binghamton | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391f…28bdbacked NJIT | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb30b…d7e7backed Binghamton | 50c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985f…a5bebacked Binghamton | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…9d37backed NJIT | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdacc…5c55backed Binghamton | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…70cfbacked NJIT | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe035…bb2ebacked NJIT | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb75…f25fbacked NJIT | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4eb…8d39backed NJIT | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…da48backed NJIT | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe870…bf4cbacked NJIT | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5604…ba5cbacked Binghamton | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…fce1backed Binghamton | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa6…d098backed Binghamton | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4145…b657backed Binghamton | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2859…fb28backed Binghamton | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9743…13c0backed Binghamton | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…6642backed Binghamton | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…4539backed Binghamton | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.