Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ca13e3d622be0968e63aba3bb02dbfe465a7e692847df43e903c5a0cc011025
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- cincai teamof cincai team, Pandawa Lima
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked cincai team | 75c | 999.88$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.85 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…3c1abacked Pandawa Lima | 35c | 859.31$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.09 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pandawa Lima | 25c | 501$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked cincai team | 68c | 300.77$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Pandawa Lima | 52c | 258.7$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.14 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed cincai team | 78c | 190$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked cincai team | 56c | 167.75$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked cincai team | 61c | 167.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…8671backed Pandawa Lima | 8c | 133.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Pandawa Lima | 14c | 129.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked cincai team | 68c | 102.21$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Pandawa Lima | 20c | 74.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Pandawa Lima | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…1454backed cincai team | 42c | 44.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Pandawa Lima | 63c | 41.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Pandawa Lima | 53c | 37.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b1d4backed cincai team | 71c | 28.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9195backed cincai team | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Open Qualifier 2 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima - Game 1 WinnerPandawa Lima won
- Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima - Game 2 Winnercincai team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.