NHL · resolved market
DEL: Bremerhaven vs. Nurnberg Ice Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ca3e26ac25e4311dae34d929539ca14d9cf31724ea05f72c4c8abf2258f16fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bremerhavenof Bremerhaven, Nurnberg Ice Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 34c | 135.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Bremerhaven | 65c | 126$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Bremerhaven | 65c | 114$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Bremerhaven | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Bremerhaven | 65c | 87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Bremerhaven | 64c | 25.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x826f…1bfdbacked Bremerhaven | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3e…8361backed Bremerhaven | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…cd50backed Bremerhaven | 66c | 18.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.