Tennis · resolved market
Lille: Alexander Blockx vs Roman Safiullin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d0549c7ea8fa0c64201d35c4a8af5ee94e69313717d4a7dcc92d180d92e821f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blockxof Blockx, Safiullin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Blockx | 72c | 1,327$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.21 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Blockx | 72c | 1,031$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.46 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blockx | 78c | 1,010$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.02 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Safiullin | 28c | 694$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.42 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Safiullin | 15c | 475.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Safiullin | 17c | 429.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Safiullin | 28c | 424.62$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.85 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Safiullin | 15c | 390.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Safiullin | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Safiullin | 28c | 340$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Safiullin | 12c | 237.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Safiullin | 18c | 199.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Safiullin | 28c | 179.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Safiullin | 31c | 162.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Blockx | 73c | 124.31$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Blockx | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Blockx | 73c | 91.58$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Safiullin | 26c | 89.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Blockx | 72c | 82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Blockx | 65c | 70.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…16ccbacked Safiullin | 32c | 69.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Safiullin | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Safiullin | 24c | 63.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Blockx | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Blockx | 70c | 51.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Blockx | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2139backed Blockx | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Blockx | 73c | 34.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Blockx | 69c | 30.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Blockx | 77c | 21.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Blockx | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.