CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BBBMBCBS vs Shanghai Sharks ESC (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d0b76f14d13b30acaefb91a4f11f5a76b67f1aa43d7a05886d06b7bfbe5bc3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BBBMBCBSof BBBMBCBS, Shanghai Sharks ESC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861f…a189backed Shanghai Sharks ESC | 65c | 2,249$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.89 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e1…97efbacked Shanghai Sharks ESC | 46c | 1,690$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed BBBMBCBS | 55c | 1,624$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.07 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BBBMBCBS | 34c | 865.82$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.27 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa223…b03bbacked BBBMBCBS | 50c | 193$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed BBBMBCBS | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shanghai Sharks ESC | 24c | 60.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed BBBMBCBS | 59c | 56.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +236.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked BBBMBCBS | 27c | 55.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Shanghai Sharks ESC | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae6…6121backed Shanghai Sharks ESC | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed BBBMBCBS | 33c | 39.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Shanghai Sharks ESC | 30c | 34.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed BBBMBCBS | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed BBBMBCBS | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BBBMBCBS vs Shanghai Sharks ESC (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: BBBMBCBS vs Shanghai Sharks ESC - Map 1 WinnerBBBMBCBS won
- Counter-Strike: BBBMBCBS vs Shanghai Sharks ESC - Map 2 WinnerBBBMBCBS won
- Map Handicap: Shanghai Sharks ESC (-1.5) vs BBBMBCBS (+1.5)BBBMBCBS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.