Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Trailer Park Boys vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d3c47721a402bbf5178d0154b53de0a15d6866fab9156913aa728aed9262a42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Trailer Park Boys, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 4,508$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.09 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…2927backed Trailer Park Boys | 24c | 2,508$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.17 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Trailer Park Boys | 45c | 1,693$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.84 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis | 73c | 821.5$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.01 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Trailer Park Boys | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…3f30backed Trailer Park Boys | 5c | 407$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Trailer Park Boys | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Trailer Park Boys | 35c | 77.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7e…b3f4backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Nemesis | 74c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…d732backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 38.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Trailer Park Boys | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…e026backed Team Nemesis | 48c | 21.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Trailer Park Boys vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Trailer Park Boys vs Team Nemesis (BO3)Team Nemesis won
- Dota 2: Trailer Park Boys vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.