Ligue 1 · resolved market
Racing Club de Lens leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e3aec24a8fc57551371637904505fb74f568299a4ee918b5e6a00598b6b9aac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,847 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 2,640$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.38 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 40c | 1,508$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.74 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed No | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 40c | 1,048$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.77 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 41c | 616.94$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.86 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 40c | 523.75$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 59c | 500.79$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.86 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 59c | 370.69$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.98 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 60c | 99.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Yes | 61c | 85.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed No | 43c | 62.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 57c | 49.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebda…b5cdbacked Yes | 60c | 26.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked No | 42c | 25.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2a…3d02backed No | 41c | 24.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862c…9d40backed Yes | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 59c | 21.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b93…55e0backed Yes | 60c | 17.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club de Lens leading at halftime?this page
- Angers SCO leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.