NHL · resolved market
AHL: Charlotte Checkers vs. Cleveland Monsters
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e57d4133e8047141dbcd6c9d355709611058f7451e8064c6b401d17161d27e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Monstersof Charlotte Checkers, Cleveland Monsters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6835…1976backed Cleveland Monsters | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…7247backed Cleveland Monsters | 54c | 254.59$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.34 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Charlotte Checkers | 55c | 126$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…c7f3backed Charlotte Checkers | 57c | 122$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Charlotte Checkers | 53c | 121.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Charlotte Checkers | 55c | 97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Charlotte Checkers | 56c | 75.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf22…81b9backed Charlotte Checkers | 57c | 66.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Cleveland Monsters | 45c | 58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…1cf9backed Cleveland Monsters | 44c | 55.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Charlotte Checkers | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Charlotte Checkers | 55c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Cleveland Monsters | 45c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Cleveland Monsters | 45c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Cleveland Monsters | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Cleveland Monsters | 45c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Cleveland Monsters | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Charlotte Checkers | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.