La Liga · resolved market
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e77a24beb61618ba5162fda66575ff139150ce2b96f59bc83faabfef0e35b9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 23c | 6,019$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.83 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 926.69$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.13 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 49c | 630.58$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.6 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes | 47c | 591.3$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.3 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 567.52$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.86 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 14c | 400.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 78c | 335.14$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.73 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 20c | 282.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0d…dea7backed Yes | 50c | 268$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 51c | 242.52$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 241.34$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.18 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 48c | 234.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.25 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 80c | 228.7$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 46c | 217.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf174…d052backed Yes | 46c | 180.43$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 54c | 172$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 41c | 160.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…bd29backed Yes | 46c | 158.7$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363b…fb76backed Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 112.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe445…aef4backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 51c | 99.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…b45fbacked Yes | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…80ddbacked Yes | 46c | 73.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 50c | 42.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 33c | 37.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 51c | 34.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdb…ea76backed Yes | 49c | 33.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 48c | 30.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c3…2020backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Yes | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed No | 48c | 24.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 48c | 22.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…5ea2backed Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 119 | 62.2%74 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-02-22?No won
- Will Málaga CF vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.