CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs DUSTY (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ed1813076f22eefb40fb7865efad08983448ba16b2d7ba5542197ae7a613afb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxo W7Mof Fluxo W7M, DUSTY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked DUSTY | 17c | 755.88$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.32 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked DUSTY | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Fluxo W7M | 71c | 502$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.5 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…2acdbacked Fluxo W7M | 66c | 449.53$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.71 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked DUSTY | 27c | 347.06$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbe…0406backed Fluxo W7M | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Fluxo W7M | 69c | 246.38$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb9…63e4backed Fluxo W7M | 69c | 186$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed Fluxo W7M | 71c | 125.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked DUSTY | 32c | 99.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed DUSTY | 19c | 63.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Fluxo W7M | 40c | 43.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…285dbacked Fluxo W7M | 69c | 37.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Fluxo W7M | 71c | 25.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -13.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs DUSTY (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs DUSTY (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 2Fluxo W7M won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs DUSTY - Map 1 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs DUSTY - Map 2 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.