Tennis · resolved market
ITF The Hague: Eva Vedder vs Weronika Falkowska
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9edbb973456ec8fb2bb875efe3ae4f7c0d861858e5b8991b2d9f20d1bb290ef2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eva Vedderof Eva Vedder, Weronika Falkowska
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Eva Vedder | 65c | 2,017$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.68 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Weronika Falkowska | 36c | 934.03$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Weronika Falkowska | 34c | 801.46$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.97 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Weronika Falkowska | 15c | 645.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Weronika Falkowska | 47c | 639.31$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 33.3%47 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eva Vedder | 56c | 264$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.75 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Weronika Falkowska | 37c | 179.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4877…9290backed Eva Vedder | 65c | 153.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Eva Vedder | 58c | 115$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Eva Vedder | 59c | 113.39$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Weronika Falkowska | 33c | 101.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Eva Vedder | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 247 | 40.1%99 W · 148 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Weronika Falkowska | 20c | 93.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Weronika Falkowska | 35c | 84.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Weronika Falkowska | 36c | 81.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Weronika Falkowska | 28c | 53.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Eva Vedder | 67c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Weronika Falkowska | 36c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Eva Vedder | 79c | 37.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Eva Vedder | 77c | 25.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Eva Vedder | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…a06bbacked Eva Vedder | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…2581backed Eva Vedder | 77c | 18.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 72 | 75%54 W · 18 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.