Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ee83471d2068852b2cb7b8debbc9fe7096d768476eb34cb5cbd61532c0f5012
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Eternal Fire | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Eternal Fire | 67c | 373.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed FUT Esports | 33c | 329.85$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.79 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked FUT Esports | 33c | 303.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.49 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Eternal Fire | 67c | 112.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed FUT Esports | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked FUT Esports | 34c | 95.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked FUT Esports | 38c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 164 | 20.1%33 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Eternal Fire | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked FUT Esports | 33c | 45.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed FUT Esports | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked FUT Esports | 56c | 34.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Eternal Fire | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed FUT Esports | 75c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed FUT Esports | 33c | 31.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Eternal Fire | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-InsFUT Esports won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.