Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Phantasma vs Team Insidious (BO5) - HLL Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f319cc38777296821f2d5128f703744b295c04b504a33c59b6737459114de90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Phantasmaof Team Phantasma, Team Insidious
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Team Insidious | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Team Phantasma | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 626 | 45.8%287 W · 339 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Team Phantasma | 73c | 1,330$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.24 | 833 | 54.5%454 W · 379 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked Team Insidious | 26c | 786.96$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.61 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Team Phantasma | 73c | 684.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.67 | 1,696 | 59.5%1,009 W · 687 L | +101.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Team Insidious | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Team Phantasma | 74c | 403.92$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.02 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Team Insidious | 8c | 361.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Insidious | 27c | 314$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.78 | 1,237 | 48.1%595 W · 642 L | +25.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Team Insidious | 27c | 159.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Team Insidious | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 580 | 42.4%246 W · 334 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Team Phantasma | 73c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Team Phantasma | 76c | 39.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked Team Phantasma | 73c | 27.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Phantasma vs Team Insidious (BO5) - HLL Playoffsthis page
- LoL: Team Phantasma vs Team Insidious - Game 1 WinnerTeam Phantasma won
- LoL: Team Phantasma vs Team Insidious - Game 3 WinnerTeam Phantasma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.