Euroleague · resolved market
Monaco vs. Paris Basketball
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f4d6bd009e083a5e7e34a03222901144a9f67cfeda433824ea5ee447620cff4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monacoof Monaco, Paris Basketball
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Paris Basketball | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.73 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Monaco | 76c | 912$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.78 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Monaco | 76c | 900$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Paris Basketball | 24c | 524.7$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Paris Basketball | 16c | 300$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Monaco | 76c | 268$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Paris Basketball | 24c | 158.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a3…48febacked Monaco | 73c | 148$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Paris Basketball | 24c | 101$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed Monaco | 78c | 93.72$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Paris Basketball | 22c | 88.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79f0…754abacked Monaco | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Paris Basketball | 27c | 73.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Monaco | 78c | 51.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Paris Basketball | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Monaco | 73c | 46.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Monaco | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb240…f788backed Paris Basketball | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65be…1c83backed Monaco | 77c | 38.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Monaco | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Monaco | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…d1dcbacked Monaco | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Monaco | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.