Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Utah State vs. New Mexico
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa007f65a46bdee5058c2915fe3e83012096f1244e24b846152c59098bda58106
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Mexicoof Utah State, New Mexico
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Utah State | 40c | 1,380$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.1 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Utah State | 33c | 728.85$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.58 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed New Mexico | 67c | 690$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.7 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…3842backed New Mexico | 68c | 607.04$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed New Mexico | 62c | 459.48$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.6 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed New Mexico | 61c | 387.74$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.19 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…8cc6backed Utah State | 38c | 248.79$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ef…c0f1backed Utah State | 38c | 232.21$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…45cabacked Utah State | 37c | 227.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…e588backed Utah State | 38c | 222.79$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Utah State | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Utah State | 35c | 174.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Utah State | 31c | 145$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed New Mexico | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb60…09bdbacked New Mexico | 65c | 141.27$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef48…3448backed New Mexico | 65c | 92.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…5510backed New Mexico | 66c | 91.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf805…8adbbacked New Mexico | 71c | 89.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked New Mexico | 64c | 88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba9d…f60abacked New Mexico | 65c | 87.87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…2f40backed New Mexico | 66c | 86.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…ab3ebacked New Mexico | 65c | 83.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ef…9ea8backed New Mexico | 72c | 80.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5a…87e2backed Utah State | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…3edfbacked New Mexico | 65c | 74.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff7…9045backed Utah State | 31c | 69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5889…5ce3backed Utah State | 32c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe244…1571backed New Mexico | 68c | 68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…0802backed New Mexico | 69c | 67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Utah State | 36c | 58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13e…dd1dbacked Utah State | 31c | 58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…dff8backed New Mexico | 65c | 55.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…64a6backed Utah State | 31c | 52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…14b7backed New Mexico | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Utah State | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…ede5backed New Mexico | 69c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…40a8backed Utah State | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9e…67c6backed New Mexico | 69c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589c…e3e6backed New Mexico | 72c | 46.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…7b3cbacked New Mexico | 69c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd639…b62fbacked New Mexico | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc2…f28dbacked New Mexico | 69c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed New Mexico | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Utah State | 35c | 38.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…fabebacked New Mexico | 69c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…b0b7backed Utah State | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a5…0cf2backed New Mexico | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b2…fbefbacked New Mexico | 69c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…a03bbacked Utah State | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…078cbacked New Mexico | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…05eabacked New Mexico | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.