CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs WAZABI (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa01a48241fc21b0b1acd7c48089d06216276bde16a8d2872e1761eb290ab65b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3DMAXof 3DMAX, WAZABI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26ac…a735backed WAZABI | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked WAZABI | 2c | 1,621$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked WAZABI | 16c | 1,099$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.82 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed WAZABI | 14c | 753.87$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.95 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0d…32e1backed WAZABI | 12c | 626$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…b7e5backed 3DMAX | 78c | 587.18$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd77f…05a4backed WAZABI | 21c | 562.03$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.03 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked WAZABI | 29c | 332.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked WAZABI | 8c | 244.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed WAZABI | 15c | 203.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked WAZABI | 14c | 191.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed WAZABI | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed WAZABI | 13c | 142.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked WAZABI | 10c | 139.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed WAZABI | 14c | 125.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked 3DMAX | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed WAZABI | 13c | 88.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x46d8…5cfbbacked 3DMAX | 77c | 80.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked WAZABI | 16c | 74.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked WAZABI | 19c | 56.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…9edabacked 3DMAX | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 3DMAX | 78c | 35.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 3DMAX | 78c | 35.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed 3DMAX | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked 3DMAX | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed 3DMAX | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs WAZABI (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs WAZABI - Map 1 Winner3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs WAZABI - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.