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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs VP.Prodigy - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Phantom Academyof Phantom Academy, VP.Prodigy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,724

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,506 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa032…2090backed VP.Prodigy13c649.98$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7551252.9%271 W · 241 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed VP.Prodigy38c530$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.42,47244.5%1,101 W · 1,371 L-68.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked VP.Prodigy31c447.31$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.182,70747.9%1,296 W · 1,411 L-30.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Phantom Academy67c365$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.951,04253.1%553 W · 489 L+62.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Phantom Academy67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.33,31945.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L-87.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Phantom Academy77c143.48$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335,11337.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L-268.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed VP.Prodigy37c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.21,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Phantom Academy72c47.46$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.271,80259.3%1,069 W · 733 L+107.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed VP.Prodigy48c43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.646835.3%24 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-27.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Phantom Academy52c43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.641,54951.3%795 W · 754 L-11.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Phantom Academy73c33.48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.211,21254.4%659 W · 553 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Phantom Academy62c23.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0240666.3%269 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa5…00b2backed Phantom Academy72c18.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.971952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.