F1 · resolved market
F1 Belgian Grand Prix: Safety Car?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0aaac414a3c71bb097677c526bc067fba2abcc6c3e432ca492069792ea4458d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 72c | 1,359$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.45 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 19c | 1,281$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.55 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 80c | 1,016$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 21c | 949$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.29 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 28c | 688.25$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked No | 21c | 476.6$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…fd58backed No | 25c | 407.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…b1b2backed No | 27c | 374.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed No | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 27c | 257.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 79c | 237.58$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd175…bb3abacked Yes | 73c | 200.38$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed No | 16c | 144.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 26c | 143.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a69…5a45backed No | 23c | 140$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…baf0backed No | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…94aabacked Yes | 73c | 88.76$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae20…245abacked No | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1737…381ebacked Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…c96dbacked No | 28c | 39.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…cab6backed No | 28c | 36.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked Yes | 77c | 34.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b8…8be5backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…d300backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +160.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac1…4a0ebacked Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 69c | 14.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…9c30backed Yes | 79c | 13.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.