Champions League · resolved market
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. FC København: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa12518cb18a7250dbee300af477c50ceabe8b05630f461d9c1551d2fcc2831fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Under | 44c | 22,906$10,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,078.64 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 8,331$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700.01 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 43c | 1,600$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.84 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 54c | 691.07$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.53 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 57c | 225$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…a51cbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95f…c250backed Over | 59c | 174.58$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 43c | 149.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Over | 56c | 130$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 55c | 112.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…6344backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6544…4b74backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea0…f1d3backed Under | 48c | 73.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 55c | 69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1973…9fb5backed Over | 58c | 67.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 51c | 50.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…6a7cbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…e313backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 43c | 34.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…3011backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x855b…8dd0backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. FC København: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. FC København: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.