CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa193e05a398ddbe1146cb5b363dab3314b6a5546925980eef69b3b7164ff1184
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,715 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 2,223$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.99 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe9…c6dcbacked Nemiga | 54c | 1,769$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.06 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Nemiga | 50c | 1,687$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.4 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Eternal Fire | 49c | 1,136$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.9 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Eternal Fire | 2c | 923$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Eternal Fire | 39c | 905.32$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.7 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Nemiga | 52c | 728.46$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.66 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eternal Fire | 62c | 599.41$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.77 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Nemiga | 54c | 589.7$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.16 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Eternal Fire | 42c | 337.87$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.56 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Nemiga | 51c | 334$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.02 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Nemiga | 53c | 333.33$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 193 | 52.3%101 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Eternal Fire | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire | 51c | 294.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.32 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…d354backed Nemiga | 41c | 265.51$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.43 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…d722backed Nemiga | 41c | 264.18$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.63 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Nemiga | 52c | 242.39$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Eternal Fire | 46c | 236$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Nemiga | 53c | 233.87$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.87 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eternal Fire | 57c | 205.32$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.88 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Eternal Fire | 50c | 200.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Nemiga | 50c | 191.26$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…13aabacked Nemiga | 43c | 188.57$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.48 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -19.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 183.83$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.78 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 179.57$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Eternal Fire | 49c | 150$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Nemiga | 28c | 135.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5278…abe4backed Nemiga | 29c | 127.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be0…cba2backed Nemiga | 38c | 125.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0f4dbacked Nemiga | 66c | 125$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 109.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Eternal Fire | 51c | 107$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nemiga | 49c | 105.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eternal Fire | 54c | 101.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Nemiga | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Nemiga | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed Eternal Fire | 72c | 89.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Nemiga | 53c | 75.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Nemiga | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 737 | 58.2%429 W · 308 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Eternal Fire | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nemiga | 53c | 64.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…20cabacked Eternal Fire | 74c | 59.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Eternal Fire | 64c | 56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Eternal Fire | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Eternal Fire | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Eternal Fire | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Nemiga | 51c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nemiga | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked Eternal Fire | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked Nemiga | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 37.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Eternal Fire | 67c | 33.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Nemiga | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Eternal Fire | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Nemiga | 52c | 29.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Nemiga | 53c | 25.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Eternal Fire | 48c | 24.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 22.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Nemiga | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d12ebacked Nemiga | 60c | 17.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Eternal Fire | 72c | 15.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 225 | 55.6%125 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerNemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.