Tennis · resolved market
Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1a80f992ee1d55f693b62fd02048ace1ea86f5c9bd5b496da8d6d631941e832
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raphael Collignonof Raphael Collignon, Geoffrey Blancaneaux
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 8c | 10,991$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.4 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 2c | 7,859$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 3c | 7,152$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.86 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 12c | 6,175$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.69 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 9c | 2,605$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.78 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 11c | 1,637$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.04 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 11c | 1,605$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.3 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 7c | 1,559$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 3c | 1,304$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 13c | 1,175$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 37.2%80 W · 135 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 5c | 587.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 8c | 571$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 3c | 495$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 8c | 255.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 10c | 243.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 13c | 128.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Geoffrey Blancaneauxthis page
- Collignon vs. Blancaneaux: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.