Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs. Hugo Grenier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1ebc436e3a71353a9168184b3e14f931637bb41fc8e8be1b72db40cd8bcea54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gomezof Gomez, Grenier
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x843d…e617backed Grenier | 62c | 9,021$5,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,566.11 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Gomez | 38c | 8,104$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,997.89 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Gomez | 49c | 2,205$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.89 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Gomez | 50c | 1,416$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.01 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Grenier | 56c | 1,351$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.35 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grenier | 71c | 693.66$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Grenier | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Gomez | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Gomez | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Grenier | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Grenier | 61c | 162.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Grenier | 47c | 141.28$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Grenier | 66c | 107.37$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Grenier | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Grenier | 57c | 82.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Grenier | 51c | 61.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Grenier | 59c | 58.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Grenier | 57c | 52.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Grenier | 62c | 43.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Gomez | 40c | 36.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Gomez | 50c | 35.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Grenier | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…273bbacked Grenier | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.