Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-02-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2369ba24efa0ecf17dc8e308374fa6c85d9f630da2b441b2548ca03e1d7c8c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 1,229$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.54 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 39c | 631.89$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.44 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 583.38$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.2 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 62c | 506.36$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.71 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 39c | 400.69$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.82 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 38c | 397.68$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.12 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked No | 40c | 248.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 27c | 225.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.19 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 21c | 188.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 63c | 187.25$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 62c | 161.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…ef4fbacked Yes | 61c | 146.97$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked No | 39c | 145$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 38c | 108$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 11c | 94.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 62c | 80.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 60c | 58.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…0a97backed Yes | 77c | 40.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Yes | 61c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Yes | 61c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 38c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Yes | 61c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed No | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc6…a5f1backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Yes | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…2506backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 73c | 19.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 61c | 19.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2e…fabfbacked Yes | 76c | 17.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-02-04?this page
- Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-02-04?No won
- Will Hibernian FC vs. Dundee United FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.