Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Gamax Esports vs RAFHA eSPORTS (BO3) - VCL MENA: Resilience Kickoff Group Stage - NA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa25d7d6b9fb9930017a6810c7ace03c4c38b9cc666a8a172d4559db7a5118185
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RAFHA eSPORTSof Gamax Esports, RAFHA eSPORTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa521…4599backed RAFHA eSPORTS | 18c | 133$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 27cpaid | +320.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed RAFHA eSPORTS | 18c | 129$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66b…8751backed Gamax Esports | 79c | 35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc366…443ebacked Gamax Esports | 79c | 33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Gamax Esports | 78c | 27.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa63…0454backed Gamax Esports | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6724…0e17backed Gamax Esports | 80c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c2…098ebacked Gamax Esports | 80c | 17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c5…5ff4backed Gamax Esports | 80c | 17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d90…5312backed Gamax Esports | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…82d0backed Gamax Esports | 80c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8b…2f4ebacked Gamax Esports | 80c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f45…7e11backed Gamax Esports | 79c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1090…1503backed Gamax Esports | 79c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Gamax Esports vs RAFHA eSPORTS (BO3) - VCL MENA: Resilience Kickoff Group Stage - NAthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.