Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Lille beat Angers?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa25efe25589b3460d3e8dcc65d5033b657417dee74de61f426076ca9ce211c55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 69c | 17,001$11,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,317.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 35c | 16,324$5,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,768.48 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 62c | 1,751$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.71 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 32c | 1,288$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.61 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…fee5backed Yes | 63c | 1,030$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 43c | 1,025$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.7 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…b31cbacked No | 36c | 850$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f6…c209backed No | 37c | 850$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…1bafbacked Yes | 64c | 760$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5c…96cdbacked No | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf02…3638backed Yes | 64c | 545$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9230…22a2backed Yes | 64c | 430$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…ccb7backed Yes | 63c | 430$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 31c | 313$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 32c | 313$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…6dafbacked Yes | 64c | 310$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f6…d90ebacked No | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b31…1646backed No | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…41bfbacked No | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…2059backed No | 37c | 280$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa75…3caabacked No | 36c | 275$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…a6d3backed No | 36c | 275$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…0401backed No | 36c | 275$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60a…0c6abacked No | 37c | 275$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e4…443cbacked No | 36c | 270$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b97…e1b1backed No | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…62e9backed No | 36c | 270$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…e3f2backed No | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c7…a102backed No | 36c | 270$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…1e81backed No | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9a…3124backed No | 37c | 265$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…81a4backed No | 36c | 265$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…0d0fbacked Yes | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f5…4495backed Yes | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…3356backed Yes | 67c | 210$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3c…710abacked No | 36c | 190$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a7…b410backed Yes | 64c | 190$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…ccf3backed Yes | 64c | 190$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…3e68backed No | 37c | 190$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ada…1f1bbacked No | 36c | 185$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa434…d89ebacked No | 37c | 185$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e30dbacked No | 33c | 180$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…2cbebacked No | 37c | 160$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…ea44backed No | 36c | 160$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…109bbacked Yes | 64c | 155$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…c1debacked Yes | 64c | 155$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7364…7f38backed Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…6d54backed Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…a603backed Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6306…53ffbacked Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da5…bd38backed Yes | 64c | 140$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…93fcbacked Yes | 64c | 140$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 33c | 127.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked No | 17c | 99.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 31c | 97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e4…7793backed No | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6490…2dfebacked No | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6223…c602backed No | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2c…b2c6backed No | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…3257backed No | 37c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1eb…933cbacked No | 36c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3998…5fdcbacked Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc013…554bbacked Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 76cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f7…382ebacked Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…bc5ebacked Yes | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa911…9f8abacked Yes | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69a…4ba7backed Yes | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Yes | 67c | 25.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lille beat Angers?this page
- Will Angers vs. Lille end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.