Lol · resolved market
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2dd6dce0c3629c4b4ffa2ae1975c1b6abc0ffb95f76139cdc67c096e2594ea8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof Movistar KOI, Fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Fnatic | 41c | 1,317$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.06 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Movistar KOI | 59c | 999.99$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.55 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…1ee8backed Fnatic | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Movistar KOI | 60c | 499.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68fe…8792backed Movistar KOI | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1920…bddabacked Movistar KOI | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579c…e2afbacked Movistar KOI | 66c | 150.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Fnatic | 39c | 132.36$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Fnatic | 32c | 118.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c4…eaa2backed Fnatic | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cac…37d6backed Movistar KOI | 60c | 65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…1ec0backed Fnatic | 40c | 65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…d7a0backed Fnatic | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…e95ebacked Movistar KOI | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cd…5aa0backed Movistar KOI | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…db37backed Movistar KOI | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c1…2d48backed Fnatic | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3db…33f7backed Movistar KOI | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa46e…c3b5backed Fnatic | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27da…6c3dbacked Fnatic | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed Movistar KOI | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x388d…a8f1backed Movistar KOI | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)Movistar KOI won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.