Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3842b944a5654d2b9b1297ad65b1dd864d922093b7f04c6b69b3e72f3e7c1c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GLYPHof GLYPH, Yangon Galacticos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,422 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Yangon Galacticos | 68c | 376.19$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.88 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee0…56bfbacked Yangon Galacticos | 22c | 318$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GLYPH | 75c | 231.26$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Yangon Galacticos | 12c | 207.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…dcb0backed GLYPH | 78c | 186$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed GLYPH | 51c | 174.7$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x429f…cbbdbacked Yangon Galacticos | 21c | 144$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yangon Galacticos | 13c | 117.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed GLYPH | 26c | 115.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc322…e3dbbacked GLYPH | 79c | 108$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Yangon Galacticos | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yangon Galacticos | 15c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…2c68backed Yangon Galacticos | 23c | 64.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8384…1af4backed GLYPH | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked GLYPH | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe282…d125backed GLYPH | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed Yangon Galacticos | 51c | 29.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed GLYPH | 78c | 19.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked GLYPH | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked GLYPH | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 1 WinnerGLYPH won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.