Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Maddison Inglis vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3a1cfebd83bdfffa9fe3cccee9ba0db9b0ab00da0cc6090cee51aed38a19425
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inglisof Inglis, Gormaz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Gormaz | 1c | 2,504$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Inglis | 38c | 1,760$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.81 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gormaz | 62c | 1,382$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.39 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Inglis | 33c | 366.34$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.76 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Inglis | 7c | 299.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.99 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Gormaz | 67c | 247.8$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.12 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Gormaz | 56c | 210$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Inglis | 67c | 165$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Inglis | 39c | 153.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.36 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Gormaz | 36c | 153.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Inglis | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Gormaz | 39c | 74.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Gormaz | 57c | 72.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Inglis | 62c | 58.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Gormaz | 29c | 57.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Gormaz | 33c | 53.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Inglis | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Gormaz | 33c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Gormaz | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Inglis | 39c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Gormaz | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x870c…7abfbacked Inglis | 70c | 27.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Maddison Inglis vs Leyre Romero Gormazthis page
- Inglis vs. Gormaz: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Inglis vs GormazGormaz won
- Set Handicap: Inglis (-1.5) vs Gormaz (+1.5)Gormaz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.